22.2.11

Social Waves and a proposed model

The impact analysis of social waves as described by Alvin Toffler in his work “The Third Wave”  can be graphed as wave function of a sinusoidal wave in a non-uniform medium with loss where horizontal axis is time and vertical axis as impact on the society in terms of social stability. The down turns result from wars, social conflicts and crisis.  We can use this function as a basis for estimate and we can predict two features of the coming wave
1-The time between Information age and the fourth wave will be approximately 20 years (each wave taking less time)
and
2-The impact on the society and down and upturns will have less impact (the first waves resulted in big wars like Crusades (end of agricultural era), First and Second World war (End of Industrial revolution) ,  Financial Crisis (end of Information age)
Based on this model and observations on the society, we have a vision that first 20 years of 21st Century will be the Quality Standardization era. Already a big revolution in Quality Management took place in year 2000 when ISO has proposed 9000 Quality Management System with empowerment and sustainability as a global vision.
We think that society will stabilize itself into the ideal state with the sustainable, environment, high quality standards and fairplay in the business and economics.
Quality Standards will be unified by using the third wave (Information) technology and locally implemented using the fourth wave (Quality) management systems to form the idealized environment what we call "Qualitopia*"
This will be the realization of human dream of Plato, Lao Tse, More, Von Neumann, Juran, Deming and many others.

*link for Qualitopia:
Qualitopia, the Quest for Perfection Through Quality Management Principles (January 6, 2010). Available at SSRN:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1550639